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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 121,046–121,207 (+4.6%) | 7.2 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 6% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 23% | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 120,402 (+4.1%) | 6.3 | 1.0% | 5h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 22% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 21% ±25 | 41% ±56 | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 119,300.98–119,351.49 (+3.1%) | 4.8 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 3.8d ago · 89× | 28% ±23 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 5% ±5 | 27% ±22 | 61% ±43 | 73% ±62 | 2.9d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 117,906.5–117,958.41 (+1.9%) | 3.0 | 10.7% | 4.4d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 87% ±47 | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 29% ±22 | 87% ±38 | 94% | 94% | 14h | 0.91% | 0.84% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 116,761.11–117,052.96 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 3.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 42% ±31 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 7h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,377–119,597 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.9% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 86% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 63% ±20 | 82% ±37 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 115,674.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 114,928 (-0.6%) | 1.0 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.8d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 113,640–114,445 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 28% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±15 | 32% ±41 | 54% ±69 | 97% | 3.0d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 108,488–109,293 (-5.5%) | 8.5 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±10 | 62% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.67% | 50 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,674.9 | 117,906.5 | 113,942.68 | stop | -1.82% |