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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+5.1%) | 17 | 0.3% | 58m | 2.0d ago · 54× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,961 (+4.4%) | 15 | 0.8% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+4.1%) | 14 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 9% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 8% ±38 | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,334.28 (+3.9%) | 13 | 1.9% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 19% ±54 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 5% ±9 | 16% ±41 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,132.5–118,229.83 (+2.9%) | 9.6 | 5.0% | 2.0d | 3.6d ago · 82× | building | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 13 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,861.31 (+2.6%) | 8.8 | 5.0% | 2.0d | 3.9d ago · 117× | building | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 1.00% | 0.88% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,821.55 (+0.8%) | 2.8 | 1.4% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±14 | 14% ±48 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,668–119,643 (+0.7%) | 2.4 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 40% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±16 | 38% ±55 | 53% | 53% | 2.0d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,032 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 23.8d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 114,856.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 114,477.46 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 67% ±33 | 46% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 37% ±14 | 67% ±33 | 78% ±47 | 86% | 8h | 1.33% | 0.76% | 49 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-2.1%) | 6.9 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 21% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 21% ±21 | 60% ±43 | 96% ±26 | 2.5d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 114,856.6 | 117,861.31 | 113,603.23 | expired | -0.02% |