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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+5.6%) | 19 | 0.3% | 59m | 2.0d ago · 54× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,961 (+4.9%) | 16 | 0.9% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+4.6%) | 15 | 1.5% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±26 | 10% ±41 | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,143.06 (+4.2%) | 14 | 2.5% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 25% ±60 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 6% ±11 | 20% ±45 | 20% | 20% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 16 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,132.5–118,229.83 (+3.3%) | 11 | 5.0% | 2.0d | 3.6d ago · 82× | building | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 11 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,927.55 (+3.1%) | 10 | 5.2% | 2.1d | 3.9d ago · 117× | building | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 1.00% | 0.88% | 11 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,737.05 (+1.2%) | 4.1 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 17% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±11 | 12% ±37 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,668–119,643 (+1.2%) | 3.9 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 11% ±15 | 16% ±42 | 47% | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,032 (+0.6%) | 2.0 | 0.9% | 3h | 23.8d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±17 | 50% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 20h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 114,516.28 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 77× | 77% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 57% ±28 | 79% ±57 | 79% | 79% | 2h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 114,336.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-1.6%) | 5.4 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 24% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±21 | 61% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 114,336.6 | 113,614.45 | 117,927.55 | expired | +0.04% |