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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+5.5%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 7% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,961 (+4.8%) | 15 | 0.9% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+4.4%) | 14 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 9% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 8% ±37 | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,110.53 (+4.0%) | 13 | 2.8% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 21% ±46 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±8 | 18% ±38 | 18% | 18% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,132.5–118,229.83 (+3.2%) | 9.9 | 5.3% | 2.1d | 3.6d ago · 82× | building | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,888.09 (+3.0%) | 9.2 | 5.5% | 2.2d | 3.9d ago · 117× | 8% ±38 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 63% ±26 | 13 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 1.00% | 0.88% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,737.05 (+1.1%) | 3.4 | 1.4% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 11% | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,668–119,643 (+1.0%) | 3.2 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 9% ±13 | 19% ±44 | 41% | 41% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,032 (+0.5%) | 1.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 23.8d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 23% ±25 | 49% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 1.5d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 114,493.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 114,443.05 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 77% ±41 | 46% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 67% ±18 | 78% ±41 | 85% | 93% | 2h | 1.33% | 0.76% | 25 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-1.8%) | 5.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 24% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±21 | 61% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.