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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+5.6%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,961 (+4.9%) | 15 | 0.9% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+4.5%) | 14 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 9% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 8% ±37 | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,036.44 (+4.1%) | 12 | 3.0% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 20% ±45 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±37 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,888.09–118,132.5 (+3.1%) | 9.4 | 5.5% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 8% ±38 | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 0.91% | 0.84% | 16 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 115,668–119,643 (+1.1%) | 3.4 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 10% ±13 | 15% ±40 | 39% | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,652.55 (+1.1%) | 3.4 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±10 | 11% ±35 | 11% | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,032 (+0.6%) | 1.7 | 0.9% | 3h | 23.8d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 44% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 1.5d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 114,443.05 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.7% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 77× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 114,395.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-1.7%) | 5.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 23% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±21 | 59% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 114,395.3 | 114,331.91 | 117,888.09 | target | +0.44% |