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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,756–121,392 (+4.8%) | 13 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,802 (+3.9%) | 11 | 1.3% | 8h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,539.59 (+3.7%) | 9.9 | 1.8% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 18% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±23 | 19% ±44 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 119,036.44 (+3.3%) | 8.8 | 3.4% | 24h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 24% ±30 | 71% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 4% ±5 | 23% ±28 | 56% ±56 | 60% | 2.6d | 1.72% | 0.72% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 117,814–118,132.5 (+2.2%) | 5.9 | 6.1% | 2.4d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 13% ±38 | 29% ±25 | 16% ±20 | 55% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±9 | 11% ±36 | 17% | 17% | > 7d | 0.91% | 0.84% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 115,668–119,643 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 1.5% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 73% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 58% ±20 | 73% ±43 | 81% | 81% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,568.04 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 1.5% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 115,253.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 114,873 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 1.1% | 5h | 22.8d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 114,368.96 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 0.9% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 54% ±33 | 46% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 14% ±9 | 54% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 75% | 21h | 1.33% | 0.76% | 55 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 111,534–112,488 (-2.4%) | 6.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 22% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 21% ±21 | 60% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.5d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,253.3 | 118,132.5 | 113,985.78 | stop | -1.85% |