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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 13:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH | 379.1275–381.0858 (+5.0%) | 4.6 | 6.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 81× | 9% ±9 | 34% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 27% ±9 | 100 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 27% ±25 | 50% ±44 | 5.0d | 1.86% | 1.16% | 223 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 378.4972–380.0844 (+4.8%) | 4.4 | 6.0% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 61× | 21% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±2 | 21% ±18 | 35% ±38 | 70% ±52 | 4.9d | 1.64% | 0.93% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 376.3404 (+4.2%) | 3.9 | 4.4% | 5h | 18.6d ago · 52× | 9% ±9 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 21% ±22 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 259 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 372.1484–372.2084 (+3.1%) | 2.8 | 4.7% | 5h | 4.4d ago · 52× | 24% ±15 | 19% ±10 | 41% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 55 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±15 | 48% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.3d | 1.38% | 1.47% | 177 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 365.998 (+1.4%) | 1.3 | 10.8% | 16h | 18.4d ago · 32× | 33% ±21 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 20% ±7 | 33% ±21 | 45% ±40 | 61% ±55 | 4.0d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 363.0645 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 9.1% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 54× | 63% ±20 | 28% ±11 | 39% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 64 | 49% ±9 | 63% ±20 | 72% ±33 | 81% ±44 | 5h | 1.61% | 0.97% | 132 → 3 | |
| at post · 361.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 355.689 (-1.5%) | 1.4 | 5.3% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 46% ±18 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 76 | 29% ±7 | 46% ±18 | 63% ±30 | 75% ±43 | 1.2d | 1.78% | 1.36% | 180 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.9116 (-2.5%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 29% ±18 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 8% ±4 | 29% ±18 | 52% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 3.0d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.