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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 381.2574–382.6285 (+6.1%) | 5.8 | 3.3% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 68× | 5% ±7 | 38% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 26% ±10 | 80 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±19 | 34% ±38 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.20% | 243 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 379.1267–379.1272 (+5.5%) | 5.2 | 6.3% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 81× | 14% ±15 | 31% ±9 | 38% ±9 | 31% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 30% ±34 | 58% ±56 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 1.06% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 370.8643–371.7516 (+3.2%) | 3.0 | 4.0% | 4h | 4.4d ago · 52× | 19% ±13 | 19% ±10 | 41% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 40% ±28 | 55% ±44 | 2.0d | 1.38% | 1.47% | 211 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 365.998 (+1.9%) | 1.8 | 10.1% | 16h | 18.4d ago · 32× | 16% ±17 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 32% ±37 | 51% ±57 | 7.0d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 362.245 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 8.7% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 41× | 66% ±25 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 45% ±11 | 66% ±25 | 82% ±33 | 89% ±43 | 18h | 1.35% | 2.02% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 359.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 351.9116 (-2.1%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 37% ±21 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 11% ±5 | 36% ±21 | 57% ±37 | 75% ±49 | 2.1d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 128 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.