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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 386.83 (+8.2%) | 8.0 | 0.4% | 9m | 4.5d ago · 68× | 3% ±8 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 80 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±27 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 2.01% | 1.20% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 381.2574 (+6.7%) | 6.5 | 3.1% | 5h | 18.5d ago · 52× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 379.1267–379.1723 (+6.1%) | 5.9 | 6.0% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 81× | 13% ±15 | 31% ±9 | 38% ±9 | 31% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±14 | 28% ±33 | 56% ±56 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 1.06% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 371.5147–371.7516 (+3.9%) | 3.8 | 3.9% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 52× | 15% ±11 | 19% ±10 | 41% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 32% ±25 | 46% ±40 | 1.2d | 1.38% | 1.47% | 233 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 365.998 (+2.4%) | 2.3 | 9.7% | 15h | 18.3d ago · 32× | 13% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±15 | 25% ±32 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 118 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 361.9172 (+1.2%) | 1.2 | 8.0% | 10h | 4.5d ago · 41× | 56% ±27 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 28% ±10 | 56% ±27 | 77% ±41 | 86% ±48 | 1.0d | 1.35% | 2.02% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 359.054–368.974 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.6% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 61× | 73% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 50% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 81% ±25 | 86% ±34 | 4h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 357.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 351.9116 (-1.5%) | 1.5 | 2.2% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 46% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 23% ±7 | 46% ±19 | 64% ±31 | 76% ±42 | 1.1d | 1.76% | 1.04% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.