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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,788.77 (+3.5%) | 4.6 | 0.1% | 37m | 1.8d ago · 69× | 24% ±8 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 71% ±22 | 3.2d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 692 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,730.85 (+1.3%) | 1.8 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 54% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 24% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 72% ±17 | 87% ±20 | 19h | 2.27% | 1.61% | 476 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,694.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,683.08–2,690.18 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 1.9d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 89% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 12% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 161 | 74% ±4 | 89% ±8 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.96% | 1.38% | 386 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,684.82–2,689.33 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.6% | 1.9d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 90% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 74% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 95% ±16 | 1h | 1.91% | 1.51% | 310 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,644.09 (-1.9%) | 2.4 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 42% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 14% ±3 | 42% ±9 | 64% ±15 | 72% ±22 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 659 → 16 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,626.1 (-2.5%) | 3.3 | 1.5% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 38× | 32% ±16 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 6% ±3 | 31% ±16 | 60% ±30 | 78% ±41 | 2.0d | 1.63% | 1.50% | 188 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-3.0%) | 4.0 | 1.1% | 5h | 13.6d ago · 46× | 32% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 50% ±24 | 54% ±37 | 3.1d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 306 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,518.91 (-6.5%) | 8.5 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 8% ±4 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±11 | 49% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 1036 → 25 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-7.0%) | 9.1 | 5.9% | 1.8d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 8% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±15 | 40% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 580 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-12.1%) | 16 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1091 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.