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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,788.77 (+4.3%) | 5.3 | 0.2% | 40m | 1.9d ago · 69× | 19% ±7 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.9d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 789 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,723.1 (+1.9%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 47% ±10 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 14% ±3 | 47% ±10 | 67% ±16 | 84% ±19 | 1.2d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 583 → 14 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,683.08–2,689.92 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.7% | 1.7d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 87% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 144 | 71% ±4 | 87% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.99% | 1.39% | 473 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,680.3–2,689.33 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 6.9d ago · 82× | 87% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 111 | 69% ±6 | 87% ±10 | 93% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.53% | 260 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,672.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,643.81 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 63% ±11 | 57% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 119 | 38% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 85% ±21 | 8h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 455 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,626.1 (-1.8%) | 2.1 | 1.6% | 13h | 4.5d ago · 38× | 53% ±21 | 38% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 20% ±7 | 53% ±20 | 76% ±30 | 88% ±37 | 21h | 1.63% | 1.50% | 135 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.3%) | 2.8 | 1.2% | 6h | 13.6d ago · 46× | 45% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 11% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 61% ±24 | 64% ±36 | 1.5d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 287 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,436.42–2,522.23 (-5.6%) | 6.9 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 11% ±6 | 48% ±9 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 132 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 28% ±16 | 39% ±26 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.51% | 582 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 2,506.42–2,514.42 (-5.9%) | 7.2 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 11% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 32% ±12 | 53% ±20 | 6.1d | 2.15% | 1.40% | 1024 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.4%) | 14 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 23% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1165 → 28 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.