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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,771.42 (+3.5%) | 4.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 23% ±8 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 47% ±15 | 70% ±22 | 3.3d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 712 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,706.92 (+1.1%) | 1.4 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 59% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 34% ±4 | 60% ±11 | 76% ±16 | 89% ±19 | 12h | 2.27% | 1.61% | 463 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,689.69–2,689.92 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.9% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 88% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 145 | 72% ±4 | 88% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±11 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.38% | 453 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,678.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 2,644.17–2,647.05 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 2.1% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 59% ±11 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 31% ±4 | 58% ±11 | 75% ±16 | 83% ±21 | 13h | 2.11% | 1.35% | 498 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.5%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 36% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 8% ±3 | 35% ±13 | 53% ±24 | 56% ±37 | 2.4d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 306 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,607.97 (-2.6%) | 3.5 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 26% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 6% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.4d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 675 → 16 | |
| HVN zone | 2,440.93–2,517.71 (-6.0%) | 8.1 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 1.8d ago · 84× | 8% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 133 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 560 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.4%) | 8.7 | 5.3% | 1.7d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 10% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 27% ±15 | 43% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 574 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.6%) | 16 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1107 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.