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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 01:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,767 (+3.6%) | 5.1 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 20% ±7 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 65% ±22 | 3.8d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 776 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,705.3 (+1.3%) | 1.8 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 52% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 23% ±4 | 53% ±11 | 71% ±17 | 87% ±19 | 21h | 2.27% | 1.61% | 498 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,685.28–2,689.92 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 2.0d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 85% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 145 | 67% ±4 | 85% ±7 | 92% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 2h | 1.98% | 1.39% | 525 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,671.27–2,693.85 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.9% | 21h | 6.7d ago · 82× | 92% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 112 | 80% ±5 | 92% ±9 | 96% ±11 | 98% ±13 | 1h | 1.90% | 1.54% | 207 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,671.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,647.05–2,648.69 (-0.8%) | 1.2 | 2.0% | 13h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 68% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 44% ±5 | 67% ±11 | 81% ±15 | 87% ±20 | 7h | 2.11% | 1.35% | 457 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.2%) | 3.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 39% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±13 | 54% ±24 | 57% ±37 | 2.1d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 308 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,607.97 (-2.4%) | 3.4 | 1.0% | 3h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 27% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 7% ±2 | 27% ±8 | 49% ±16 | 66% ±24 | 3.2d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 648 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,440.93–2,517.71 (-5.7%) | 8.2 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 7% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 133 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±14 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 559 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.2%) | 8.8 | 5.1% | 1.6d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 9% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±15 | 42% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 579 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.3%) | 16 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1094 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.