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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,767 (+4.0%) | 6.2 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 15% ±6 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 37% ±13 | 58% ±21 | 5.4d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 922 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,699.67 (+1.5%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 47% ±10 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 14% ±3 | 47% ±10 | 67% ±16 | 84% ±19 | 1.2d | 2.27% | 1.61% | 584 → 14 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,685.28–2,688.88 (+0.9%) | 1.4 | 3.5% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 68% ±11 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 145 | 36% ±5 | 68% ±11 | 83% ±16 | 89% ±19 | 9h | 1.98% | 1.39% | 403 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,671.27–2,693.85 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.9% | 23h | 6.7d ago · 82× | 86% ±10 | 53% ±9 | 22% ±8 | 25% ±8 | 112 | 66% ±5 | 86% ±9 | 91% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 2h | 1.90% | 1.54% | 315 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,660.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,647.6–2,648.69 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 79% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 121 | 59% ±5 | 78% ±10 | 87% ±14 | 91% ±18 | 3h | 2.12% | 1.34% | 400 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-1.8%) | 2.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 43% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 10% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 59% ±24 | 62% ±36 | 1.5d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 294 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,612.39 (-1.8%) | 2.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 30% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 8% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 52% ±18 | 68% ±25 | 2.8d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 565 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,440.93–2,522.23 (-5.2%) | 8.1 | 2.1% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 8% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 133 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 33% ±26 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 562 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-5.8%) | 9.0 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 8% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±15 | 40% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 586 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.0%) | 17 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1062 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.