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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 10:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,767 (+2.7%) | 4.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 26% ±8 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 73% ±22 | 3.0d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 676 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,699.91 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 85% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 120 | 71% ±6 | 85% ±11 | 93% ±14 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.61% | 259 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,694.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,666.75–2,693.85 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 93% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 133 | 82% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 95% ±12 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.51% | 252 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,685.28–2,689.44 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.5% | 1.9d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 88% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±7 | 162 | 74% ±4 | 88% ±8 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.98% | 1.38% | 401 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,650.64–2,653.2 (-1.5%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 11h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 40% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 121 | 13% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 63% ±15 | 72% ±21 | 1.6d | 2.12% | 1.34% | 712 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,616.8 (-2.9%) | 4.7 | 1.0% | 6h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 19% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 64% ±21 | 4.0d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 827 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-3.0%) | 4.9 | 0.9% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 40% ±21 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 354 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-7.0%) | 11 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 4% ±4 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±12 | 29% ±24 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 593 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-12.1%) | 20 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 15% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 995 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.