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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,758.17 (+3.0%) | 4.2 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 28% ±9 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 52% ±17 | 74% ±22 | 2.8d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 633 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,709.76 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 54% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 120 | 25% ±4 | 54% ±11 | 73% ±17 | 88% ±19 | 18h | 2.24% | 1.61% | 475 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,689.44–2,689.69 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 4.2% | 2.2d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 87% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 146 | 70% ±4 | 87% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.98% | 1.39% | 469 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,676.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 2,657.72–2,661.73 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 78% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 121 | 57% ±5 | 77% ±10 | 86% ±15 | 90% ±19 | 3h | 2.12% | 1.34% | 401 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,621.22 (-2.1%) | 2.8 | 1.3% | 10h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 30% ±9 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 8% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 52% ±17 | 68% ±24 | 2.8d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 571 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 2,585.46–2,612.55 (-2.4%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 35% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 8% ±3 | 35% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 55% ±37 | 2.5d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 309 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,445.45–2,517.71 (-5.9%) | 8.2 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 7% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 23% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 133 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±14 | 33% ±25 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 561 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,506.42 (-6.4%) | 8.8 | 5.2% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 9% ±6 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±15 | 42% ±26 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 584 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.67 (-11.5%) | 16 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 20% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1101 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.