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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,261.5 (+5.1%) | 11 | <0.1% | 21m | 1.6d ago · 67× | 7% ±4 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 18% ±10 | 32% ±18 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1031 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 85,014.72–85,264.23 (+2.4%) | 5.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 53× | 19% ±9 | 53% ±12 | 15% ±8 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±9 | 39% ±20 | 57% ±31 | 4.7d | 1.99% | 0.74% | 432 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,580.62 (+1.9%) | 4.0 | 1.7% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 27% ±7 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 55% ±14 | 71% ±19 | 2.3d | 1.41% | 1.01% | 880 → 21 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 84,011.42–84,109.67 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 5.8d ago · 116× | 46% ±12 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 153 | 13% ±3 | 46% ±12 | 75% ±18 | 83% ±23 | 1.1d | 1.43% | 0.98% | 409 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 83,891.9–84,390.93 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 23h | 1.6d ago · 78× | 61% ±12 | 54% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 118 | 21% ±4 | 61% ±12 | 83% ±16 | 92% ±18 | 16h | 1.54% | 1.11% | 388 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,167.44 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.4% | 11h | 7.0d ago · 75× | 88% ±11 | 47% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 46% ±10 | 87 | 73% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.52% | 1.03% | 206 → 5 | |
| at post · 83,004 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 82,893.85 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 36× | 90% ±14 | 44% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±14 | 47 | 79% ±8 | 90% ±14 | 94% ±18 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 1.52% | 0.91% | 106 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 84% ±15 | 41% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 61% ±8 | 84% ±15 | 93% ±17 | 97% ±19 | 2h | 1.19% | 1.21% | 136 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-2.1%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 21h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 29% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 2.9d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 624 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,205.05 (-2.2%) | 4.5 | 2.6% | 23h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 23% ±8 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 40% ±16 | 54% ±24 | 5.8d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 667 → 16 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.0%) | 15 | 4.2% | 2.2d | 4.5d ago · 62× | 3% ±4 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±12 | 39% ±29 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 462 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-9.8%) | 20 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 14% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 991 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.