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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 10:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,261.5 (+4.0%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 21m | 1.6d ago · 67× | 11% ±5 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 27% ±12 | 44% ±20 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1010 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 85,014.72–85,264.23 (+1.4%) | 2.8 | 0.8% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 53× | 41% ±13 | 53% ±12 | 15% ±8 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 10% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 62% ±23 | 73% ±33 | 1.5d | 1.99% | 0.74% | 313 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,559.54 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 63% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 29% ±4 | 62% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 86% ±21 | 12h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 460 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 83,993.19–84,109.67 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 5.8d ago · 116× | 86% ±8 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 153 | 70% ±5 | 86% ±9 | 95% ±9 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.98% | 392 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 83,891.9–84,390.93 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 78× | 90% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 118 | 77% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 95% ±11 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.54% | 1.11% | 261 → 6 | |
| at post · 83,875.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 83,018.61–83,186.58 (-0.8%) | 1.7 | 1.6% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 56% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 7% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 124 | 23% ±4 | 56% ±10 | 76% ±16 | 82% ±21 | 17h | 1.48% | 1.13% | 527 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 1.0% | 6h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 44% ±16 | 41% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 15% ±5 | 45% ±16 | 73% ±24 | 84% ±32 | 1.3d | 1.19% | 1.21% | 225 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,272.01 (-3.1%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 22h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 18% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 41% ±16 | 60% ±25 | 4.6d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 628 → 15 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,205.05 (-3.2%) | 6.6 | 2.7% | 23h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 11% ±5 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±12 | 43% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 919 → 22 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.9%) | 17 | 4.3% | 2.2d | 4.5d ago · 62× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 37% ±30 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 434 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-10.7%) | 22 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 936 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.