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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 87,261.5 (+4.2%) | 6.7 | 0.1% | 27m | 1.5d ago · 67× | 16% ±6 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±13 | 55% ±21 | 5.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 921 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,567.62 (+1.0%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 66% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 118 | 35% ±4 | 67% ±10 | 80% ±15 | 87% ±20 | 10h | 1.41% | 1.01% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,986.07–83,988.09 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 5.7d ago · 116× | 86% ±8 | 43% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 153 | 70% ±4 | 86% ±8 | 95% ±9 | 97% ±10 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.98% | 417 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 83,767.15–84,515.69 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 90% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 21% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 118 | 78% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 1.54% | 1.11% | 252 → 6 | |
| at post · 83,762.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 83,268.12–83,283.25 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.3% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 99× | 76% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 7% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 124 | 52% ±5 | 76% ±10 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 4h | 1.48% | 1.13% | 445 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-1.0%) | 1.7 | 1.2% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 61% ±16 | 41% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 28% ±6 | 62% ±16 | 83% ±21 | 92% ±24 | 13h | 1.19% | 1.21% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 81,452.25 (-2.8%) | 4.4 | 1.6% | 12h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 24% ±8 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 4% ±1 | 24% ±8 | 41% ±16 | 55% ±24 | 5.5d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 668 → 16 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,147.25 (-3.1%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 25% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±8 | 49% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 3.2d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 627 → 15 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-7.8%) | 12 | 5.4% | 2.7d | 4.3d ago · 62× | 5% ±5 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±13 | 41% ±28 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 496 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-10.6%) | 17 | <0.1% | 4m | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1079 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.