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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 13:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 383.554 (+9.3%) | 8.6 | 1.6% | 1h | 4.7d ago · 68× | 3% ±8 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 80 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 13% ±27 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 2.01% | 1.20% | 103 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 381.5065 (+8.7%) | 8.0 | 2.9% | 5h | 18.7d ago · 52× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±17 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 188 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 379.2542 (+8.1%) | 7.4 | 6.0% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 81× | 9% ±15 | 32% ±9 | 37% ±9 | 31% ±9 | 100 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±15 | 22% ±36 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.01% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 371.6785 (+5.9%) | 5.5 | 4.0% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 39× | 6% ±7 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 15% ±18 | 27% ±36 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.56% | 265 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 366.1502 (+4.3%) | 4.0 | 9.8% | 16h | 18.5d ago · 32× | 9% ±11 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 22% ±29 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 152 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 361.8505 (+3.1%) | 2.9 | 7.8% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 41× | 38% ±30 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 6% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 53% ±56 | 83% | 2.9d | 1.35% | 2.02% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 358.165 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 6.0% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 52× | 44% ±31 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 17% ±9 | 43% ±29 | 84% ±36 | 95% ±30 | 1.2d | 1.44% | 1.40% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 352.432–354.07 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.9% | 10h | 4.7d ago · 61× | 73% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 49% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 81% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 6h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.613 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.5% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 30× | 82% ±27 | 29% ±16 | 40% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 54% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 88% | 3h | 1.55% | 1.28% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 350.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.