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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-09-30 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 381.5065 (+8.2%) | 9.0 | 2.4% | 4h | 18.7d ago · 52× | 1% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 9% ±18 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 165 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+7.5%) | 8.3 | 5.2% | 11h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 7% ±15 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 16% ±36 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 1.65% | 0.83% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 372.4975–373.3165 (+5.6%) | 6.2 | 3.6% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 68× | 3% ±5 | 29% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 80 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±17 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 1.77% | 1.32% | 267 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 367.3787 (+4.2%) | 4.6 | 7.3% | 11h | 18.5d ago · 32× | 9% ±11 | 30% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 21% ±28 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 1.49% | 1.10% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 360.622 (+2.2%) | 2.5 | 6.0% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 41× | 42% ±31 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 8% ±7 | 41% ±30 | 56% ±56 | 83% | 2.0d | 1.35% | 2.02% | 61 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 359.3935–360.2125 (+1.9%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 61× | 41% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 86 | 12% ±5 | 40% ±19 | 53% ±33 | 69% ±45 | 3.0d | 1.68% | 0.93% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 353.0463 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.3% | 11h | 6.5d ago · 81× | 77% ±16 | 33% ±9 | 37% ±9 | 30% ±9 | 100 | 62% ±7 | 77% ±16 | 86% ±23 | 90% ±29 | 1h | 1.73% | 1.12% | 162 → 4 | |
| at post · 352.7213 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 351.613 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 44× | 69% ±21 | 27% ±12 | 45% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 53 | 48% ±9 | 69% ±21 | 81% ±31 | 85% ±40 | 6h | 1.58% | 1.07% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 345.88 (-1.9%) | 2.1 | 0.2% | 7m | 11.5d ago · 79× | 33% ±15 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 10% ±4 | 33% ±15 | 54% ±27 | 67% ±38 | 2.9d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 239 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.