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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+3.6%) | 12 | 0.3% | 56m | 1.9d ago · 54× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,636 (+2.6%) | 8.6 | 1.3% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 10% ±24 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,095.42 (+2.1%) | 7.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 19% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±20 | 30% ±40 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,861.25–117,940.93 (+1.1%) | 3.6 | 5.3% | 2.1d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 28% ±44 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 9% ±10 | 43% ±43 | 64% ±67 | 64% | 1.2d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 117,603.86 (+0.9%) | 2.8 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 37% ±25 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 8% ±6 | 37% ±25 | 68% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 1.5d | 1.59% | 0.72% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 116,596.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 116,483.38 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 89% ±24 | 50% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 70% ±14 | 89% ±24 | 94% ±32 | 94% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,628.5 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 1.4% | 6h | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 21% ±23 | 21% ±57 | 21% | 21% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,397.84 (-1.9%) | 6.2 | 1.3% | 14h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±37 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 114,090.98 (-2.1%) | 7.1 | 1.1% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 6% ±13 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±13 | 22% ±36 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 81 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.