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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+3.5%) | 13 | 0.3% | 50m | 1.9d ago · 54× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,521.5 (+2.4%) | 8.9 | 1.4% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 7% ±21 | 7% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 100 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,095.42 (+2.0%) | 7.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 18% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±19 | 26% ±39 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 117,861.25–117,940.93 (+1.0%) | 3.6 | 4.7% | 1.8d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 28% ±44 | 33% ±27 | 20% ±23 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±10 | 43% ±43 | 63% ±67 | 63% | 1.2d | 0.81% | 0.81% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 117,603.86 (+0.7%) | 2.8 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 38% ±25 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 8% ±6 | 38% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 1.4d | 1.59% | 0.72% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 116,732.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 116,665.08 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.5% | 19h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 90% ±24 | 50% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 75% ±14 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±37 | 93% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,628.5 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 1.3% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 15% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 11% ±35 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,397.84 (-2.0%) | 7.5 | 1.2% | 12h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 13% ±30 | 36% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 114,212.11 (-2.2%) | 8.1 | 1.1% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 5% ±12 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 18% ±37 | 23% ±59 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 69 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 116,732.9 | 117,603.86 | 114,212.11 | target | +1.32% |