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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-10 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,582.5 (+3.5%) | 13 | 0.3% | 51m | 1.9d ago · 54× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,750.5 (+2.6%) | 9.6 | 1.1% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 119,095.42 (+2.1%) | 7.5 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 18% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±19 | 26% ±39 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 117,861.25 (+1.0%) | 3.7 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 20% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 10% ±11 | 37% ±42 | 61% ±68 | 61% | 1.3d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 117,640.49 (+0.8%) | 3.0 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 35% ±24 | 73% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±23 | 12 | 6% ±5 | 35% ±24 | 68% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 1.5d | 1.59% | 0.72% | 91 → 2 | |
| at post · 116,691.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 116,667.01 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 85× | 94% ±21 | 59% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 64% ±17 | 94% ±21 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1h | 1.29% | 0.47% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 116,495.76 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.5% | 19h | 3.5d ago · 115× | 86% ±23 | 50% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 68% ±12 | 87% ±21 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 2h | 1.31% | 0.51% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,857.5 (-0.7%) | 2.6 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 20% ±22 | 20% ±55 | 20% | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 114,286.18–114,397.84 (-2.0%) | 7.2 | 1.1% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 4% ±10 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 17% ±33 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 82 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 116,691.2 | 117,640.49 | 114,286.18 | target | +2.06% |
| 14d | POC | long | 116,691.2 | 119,095.42 | 114,397.84 | target | +2.06% |