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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 381.916 (+6.8%) | 8.0 | 2.2% | 3h | 18.5d ago · 52× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 24% ±37 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+6.1%) | 7.1 | 5.1% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 54× | 7% ±13 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 21% ±36 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 1.65% | 0.83% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 372.088 (+4.1%) | 4.8 | 3.3% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 39× | 7% ±8 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±20 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.56% | 263 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 366.355 (+2.5%) | 2.9 | 6.7% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 68× | 18% ±11 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 80 | 4% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 36% ±24 | 53% ±37 | 6.9d | 2.01% | 1.20% | 274 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 361.441–368.812 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 5.7% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 61× | 57% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 87 | 28% ±6 | 57% ±17 | 70% ±27 | 79% ±36 | 22h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 357.7555 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 41× | 75% ±27 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 54% ±13 | 75% ±27 | 86% ±40 | 91% | 2h | 1.35% | 2.02% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 357.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 352.0225–354.4795 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 4.8% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 64% ±16 | 30% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 86 | 48% ±7 | 65% ±16 | 77% ±24 | 83% ±33 | 18h | 1.68% | 1.14% | 215 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 353.0463 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 5.5% | 12h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 44% ±19 | 31% ±9 | 32% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 93 | 23% ±7 | 45% ±19 | 64% ±33 | 81% ±39 | 1.8d | 1.65% | 1.44% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.2035 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 2.1% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 35% ±20 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 10% ±5 | 35% ±20 | 55% ±37 | 73% ±50 | 2.8d | 1.71% | 1.09% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 345.88 (-3.2%) | 3.8 | 0.2% | 7m | 11.3d ago · 79× | 11% ±9 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 31% ±24 | 51% ±40 | 7.0d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 256 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.