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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 20:00 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 381.916 (+7.9%) | 9.4 | 2.1% | 3h | 18.5d ago · 52× | 1% ±4 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±18 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+7.1%) | 8.5 | 4.9% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 54× | 7% ±14 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 14% ±34 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.65% | 0.83% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 372.088 (+5.1%) | 6.1 | 3.2% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 39× | 4% ±6 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±16 | 24% ±34 | > 7d | 1.30% | 1.56% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 363.079 (+2.5%) | 3.0 | 6.0% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 68× | 17% ±11 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 80 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±11 | 34% ±23 | 52% ±37 | 7.0d | 2.01% | 1.20% | 285 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 361.441–368.812 (+2.1%) | 2.5 | 5.5% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 61× | 32% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 87 | 7% ±4 | 32% ±18 | 48% ±33 | 67% ±46 | 3.9d | 1.64% | 0.93% | 163 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 357.346 (+0.9%) | 1.1 | 5.3% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 41× | 58% ±25 | 21% ±12 | 31% ±14 | 48% ±15 | 45 | 34% ±10 | 57% ±25 | 77% ±37 | 86% ±48 | 21h | 1.35% | 2.02% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 354.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 353.0463 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 5.3% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 71% ±17 | 31% ±9 | 32% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 93 | 52% ±7 | 71% ±17 | 79% ±25 | 88% ±32 | 8h | 1.65% | 1.44% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 351.2035 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 66% ±18 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 39% ±8 | 66% ±18 | 79% ±27 | 84% ±35 | 18h | 1.71% | 1.09% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 346.2895 (-2.2%) | 2.7 | 0.3% | 10m | 11.3d ago · 79× | 26% ±13 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 7% ±3 | 26% ±13 | 46% ±26 | 62% ±39 | 4.0d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 258 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.