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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 13:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,770 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.36 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 381.916 (+2.1%) | 2.1 | 2.7% | 4h | 18.8d ago · 52× | 27% ±15 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 10% ±4 | 27% ±15 | 41% ±29 | 58% ±43 | 5.7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 5.9% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 37% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 20% ±6 | 37% ±19 | 53% ±35 | 66% ±46 | 2.9d | 1.65% | 0.83% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 379.0495–379.8685 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 5.8% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 61× | 56% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 87 | 26% ±6 | 57% ±17 | 69% ±27 | 78% ±36 | 23h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 190 → 5 | |
| at post · 373.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 372.4975 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.6% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 38× | 81% ±23 | 33% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 42 | 59% ±12 | 82% ±23 | 90% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 1.70% | 1.13% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 361.0315–368.812 (-1.4%) | 1.3 | 6.7% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 53% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 86 | 33% ±7 | 53% ±17 | 70% ±27 | 77% ±37 | 1.0d | 1.68% | 1.14% | 194 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 367.3787 (-1.7%) | 1.7 | 8.4% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 45× | 31% ±21 | 33% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 48 | 15% ±7 | 30% ±21 | 56% ±40 | 77% ±48 | 2.9d | 1.50% | 1.26% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 362.8248 (-3.0%) | 2.9 | 8.0% | 11h | 12.8d ago · 53× | 31% ±30 | 29% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 7% ±7 | 31% ±30 | 48% ±57 | 57% | 3.7d | 1.68% | 1.40% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 357.346 (-4.4%) | 4.4 | 6.4% | 10h | 7.8d ago · 58× | 10% ±9 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 26% ±23 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 1.77% | 1.37% | 252 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 351.613–353.2036 (-5.5%) | 5.4 | 6.4% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 78× | 6% ±8 | 28% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 93 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±21 | 28% ±39 | > 7d | 1.72% | 1.37% | 221 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 347.6032 (-7.0%) | 6.9 | 0.9% | 49m | 11.6d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 12% ±21 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 165 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.