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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 17:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,769 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.37 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 386.83 (+4.2%) | 4.1 | 0.4% | 9m | 18.4d ago · 52× | 9% ±8 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 20% ±20 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 264 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+2.1%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 25% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 8% ±5 | 25% ±18 | 43% ±37 | 60% ±56 | 5.9d | 1.65% | 0.83% | 130 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 379.0495–379.8685 (+2.1%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 61× | 42% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 87 | 11% ±5 | 43% ±18 | 57% ±32 | 71% ±45 | 2.8d | 1.64% | 0.93% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 372.907 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 5.8% | 8h | 4.2d ago · 39× | 59% ±24 | 18% ±12 | 38% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 40% ±10 | 59% ±24 | 69% ±41 | 72% ±62 | 21h | 1.30% | 1.56% | 95 → 2 | |
| at post · 371.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 360.2125–368.812 (-0.7%) | 0.7 | 6.5% | 9h | 5.2d ago · 68× | 70% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 54% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 81% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 2h | 1.71% | 1.13% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 367.3787 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 8.1% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 45× | 48% ±21 | 35% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 31% ±8 | 47% ±21 | 62% ±36 | 76% ±48 | 1.8d | 1.50% | 1.22% | 130 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 362.968 (-2.3%) | 2.3 | 7.7% | 10h | 12.4d ago · 53× | 35% ±28 | 29% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 9% ±7 | 35% ±28 | 54% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 2.9d | 1.68% | 1.40% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 358.984 (-3.3%) | 3.3 | 5.8% | 8h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 15% ±12 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±27 | 56% ±43 | 5.9d | 1.77% | 1.37% | 210 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 351.613–353.1424 (-4.9%) | 4.9 | 5.3% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 8% ±9 | 29% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 94 | 3% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 22% ±24 | 34% ±42 | > 7d | 1.73% | 1.36% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 347.304 (-6.5%) | 6.5 | 0.7% | 40m | 11.2d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±21 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.