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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 20:00 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,769 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.37 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 386.83 (+4.4%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 10m | 18.4d ago · 52× | 9% ±8 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±8 | 19% ±20 | 38% ±39 | > 7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 266 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 372.7022–374.545 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 6.5% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 58% ±20 | 25% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 37% ±12 | 65 | 40% ±8 | 58% ±20 | 69% ±32 | 77% ±48 | 14h | 1.51% | 1.12% | 136 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 370.8595–371.6785 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.8% | 7h | 4.4d ago · 61× | 79% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 87 | 59% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 1.64% | 0.93% | 119 → 3 | |
| at post · 370.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 360.622–368.812 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 6.5% | 9h | 5.1d ago · 68× | 72% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 55% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 82% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 2h | 1.71% | 1.13% | 180 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 367.3787 (-0.9%) | 0.8 | 8.2% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 45× | 53% ±21 | 35% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 36% ±8 | 52% ±21 | 67% ±35 | 77% ±48 | 1.0d | 1.50% | 1.22% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 363.9736 (-1.8%) | 1.7 | 7.6% | 10h | 12.4d ago · 53× | 47% ±27 | 29% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 21% ±9 | 47% ±27 | 66% ±47 | 76% ±59 | 1.2d | 1.68% | 1.40% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 359.3935 (-3.0%) | 2.9 | 6.0% | 8h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 18% ±13 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 38% ±28 | 60% ±43 | 4.9d | 1.77% | 1.37% | 208 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 355.708 (-4.0%) | 3.9 | 4.9% | 7h | 6.2d ago · 44× | 11% ±11 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 50% ±49 | > 7d | 1.71% | 1.09% | 182 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 353.2036 (-4.7%) | 4.6 | 5.2% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 13% ±16 | 30% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 29% ±36 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 1.75% | 1.51% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 347.0288 (-6.4%) | 6.2 | 0.7% | 32m | 11.2d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±21 | 34% ±42 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.