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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 14:30 UTC
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TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,769 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0026), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.37 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 386.83 (+2.4%) | 2.0 | 0.5% | 11m | 18.4d ago · 52× | 27% ±15 | 41% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 30% ±12 | 60 | 11% ±4 | 27% ±15 | 42% ±29 | 58% ±43 | 5.7d | 2.10% | 1.20% | 203 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 379.2542 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.9% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 64% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 32% ±11 | 65 | 51% ±9 | 64% ±20 | 74% ±32 | 83% ±43 | 3h | 1.65% | 0.83% | 127 → 3 | |
| at post · 377.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 374.545 (-0.8%) | 0.7 | 6.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 38× | 75% ±23 | 33% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 54% ±11 | 76% ±23 | 84% ±36 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 1.55% | 1.03% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 370.8595–373.3165 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 7.9% | 10h | 5.1d ago · 68× | 64% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 48% ±7 | 65% ±16 | 78% ±23 | 84% ±32 | 18h | 1.71% | 1.13% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 367.3787–368.4054 (-2.5%) | 2.1 | 9.3% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 53× | 26% ±19 | 32% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 55 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 51% ±37 | 71% ±51 | 3.4d | 1.60% | 1.32% | 121 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 359.3935 (-4.8%) | 4.1 | 7.2% | 10h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 11% ±9 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 26% ±23 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 1.77% | 1.37% | 249 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 355.708 (-5.8%) | 4.9 | 5.2% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 44× | 7% ±9 | 26% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 3% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 22% ±24 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 1.71% | 1.09% | 189 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 353.1083 (-6.5%) | 5.5 | 3.9% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 10% ±15 | 30% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 22% ±36 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 1.75% | 1.51% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 345.88 (-8.4%) | 7.1 | 0.3% | 10m | 11.1d ago · 79× | 3% ±6 | 23% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±21 | 29% ±44 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.06% | 165 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.