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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 18:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 86,379.34 (+1.9%) | 3.6 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 32% ±9 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 60% ±17 | 72% ±24 | 2.0d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 601 → 14 | |
| at post · 84,764.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 93% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 75% ±5 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 335 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,473.64 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 89% ±11 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 73% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 83,976.69–83,988.09 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 3.4d ago · 114× | 69% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 153 | 32% ±4 | 69% ±11 | 82% ±15 | 91% ±18 | 11h | 1.21% | 0.96% | 432 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 83,642.39 (-1.3%) | 2.5 | 3.1% | 21h | 5.8d ago · 36× | 50% ±17 | 45% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 13% ±5 | 50% ±17 | 78% ±24 | 88% ±29 | 1.0d | 1.57% | 0.91% | 195 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,157.95 (-1.9%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 14h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 34% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 125 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±8 | 55% ±14 | 66% ±20 | 2.2d | 1.47% | 1.18% | 866 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,915.06 (-2.2%) | 4.1 | 1.2% | 8h | 19.8d ago · 56× | 26% ±8 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 44% ±16 | 57% ±25 | 5.0d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 635 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.2%) | 4.2 | 1.1% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 27% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±12 | 51% ±23 | 64% ±33 | 2.8d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 323 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-8.9%) | 17 | 4.5% | 2.4d | 4.5d ago · 62× | 1% ±2 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±30 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 437 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-11.6%) | 22 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 953 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.