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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 86,383.48 (+2.0%) | 3.8 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 67× | 31% ±9 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±9 | 58% ±17 | 70% ±23 | 2.3d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 614 → 15 | |
| at post · 84,704.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 98× | 93% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 79% ±5 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±9 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 303 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,504.96 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 92% ±10 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 77% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,988.09–83,990.72 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 3.2d ago · 114× | 71% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±8 | 153 | 35% ±5 | 71% ±10 | 83% ±15 | 92% ±17 | 9h | 1.21% | 0.96% | 432 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 83,642.39 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 3.1% | 21h | 5.6d ago · 36× | 51% ±17 | 45% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 13% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 79% ±24 | 89% ±28 | 1.0d | 1.57% | 0.91% | 196 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,157.95 (-1.8%) | 3.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 35% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 125 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±8 | 56% ±14 | 66% ±21 | 2.1d | 1.47% | 1.18% | 844 → 20 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,933.46 (-2.1%) | 4.0 | 1.2% | 8h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 28% ±9 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 45% ±17 | 58% ±25 | 4.1d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 610 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.1%) | 4.1 | 1.1% | 7h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 28% ±12 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±12 | 53% ±23 | 65% ±33 | 2.6d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 322 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 77,217.4 (-8.8%) | 17 | 4.3% | 2.3d | 4.3d ago · 62× | 1% ±2 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±30 | > 7d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 438 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,909.4 (-11.6%) | 22 | <0.1% | 3m | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 953 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.