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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 02:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,135.59 (+2.3%) | 4.3 | 0.2% | 43m | 4.6d ago · 38× | 25% ±10 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 51% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 3.0d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 462 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 86,236.54 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 48% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 18% ±4 | 48% ±12 | 71% ±19 | 78% ±27 | 1.1d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 380 → 9 | |
| at post · 85,161.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 98× | 84% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 54% ±4 | 84% ±8 | 91% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 4h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 478 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,473.64 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 67% ±16 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 38% ±7 | 67% ±16 | 79% ±23 | 84% ±32 | 9h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,988.09–84,079.04 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 4.4% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 114× | 54% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 153 | 17% ±3 | 54% ±11 | 72% ±18 | 84% ±22 | 21h | 1.30% | 0.96% | 452 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,126.62 (-2.4%) | 4.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 27% ±7 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 5% ±1 | 27% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 60% ±20 | 3.6d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 966 → 23 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,895.26 (-2.7%) | 5.0 | 1.1% | 7h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 19% ±7 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 35% ±15 | 50% ±23 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 744 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.7%) | 5.0 | 1.1% | 7h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±10 | 44% ±22 | 56% ±32 | 4.7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 365 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,028.33 (-8.4%) | 16 | 2.3% | 15h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1108 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.