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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,135.59 (+1.4%) | 2.3 | 0.2% | 47m | 4.7d ago · 38× | 50% ±15 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 16% ±5 | 50% ±15 | 72% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.0d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 246 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 86,202.04 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 84% ±11 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 63% ±6 | 84% ±11 | 89% ±16 | 92% ±22 | 2h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 252 → 6 | |
| at post · 85,951.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-1.5%) | 2.5 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 50% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 14% ±3 | 50% ±11 | 67% ±17 | 76% ±24 | 1.0d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 495 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,606.29 (-1.6%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 72× | 45% ±16 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 14% ±4 | 45% ±16 | 67% ±26 | 74% ±35 | 1.3d | 1.26% | 1.04% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,970.05–84,079.04 (-2.2%) | 3.6 | 4.9% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 114× | 34% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 153 | 6% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 59% ±18 | 72% ±25 | 2.1d | 1.30% | 0.96% | 510 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,948.64–83,114.41 (-3.3%) | 5.5 | 2.0% | 15h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 18% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 36% ±12 | 51% ±20 | 5.2d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1040 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.6%) | 5.9 | 1.2% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 16% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 35% ±20 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 395 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,153.08 (-9.1%) | 15 | 2.5% | 15h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 19% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1123 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.