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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,135.59 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 0.2% | 45m | 4.8d ago · 38× | 57% ±17 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 21% ±6 | 57% ±17 | 77% ±25 | 87% ±30 | 20h | 1.19% | 1.40% | 204 → 5 | |
| at post · 86,250.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 86,155.09 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 88% ±15 | 45% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 45% ±12 | 66 | 77% ±8 | 88% ±15 | 93% ±21 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,650.17 (-1.9%) | 3.3 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 37% ±14 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 10% ±4 | 37% ±14 | 60% ±25 | 70% ±37 | 2.0d | 1.26% | 1.04% | 270 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-1.9%) | 3.3 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 39% ±10 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 9% ±2 | 39% ±10 | 59% ±17 | 72% ±24 | 1.8d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 579 → 14 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,970.05–84,079.04 (-2.5%) | 4.5 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.4d ago · 114× | 24% ±9 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 51% ±19 | 65% ±27 | 2.9d | 1.31% | 0.97% | 509 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.15–83,070.53 (-3.7%) | 6.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 13% ±5 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±12 | 47% ±20 | 6.3d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1031 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.9%) | 6.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 14% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 28% ±18 | 37% ±30 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 430 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,277.84 (-9.2%) | 16 | 2.5% | 16h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1106 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.