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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.9%) | 3.0 | 0.2% | 36m | 4.8d ago · 38× | 40% ±14 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 9% ±3 | 41% ±14 | 66% ±22 | 80% ±30 | 1.4d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 301 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 86,073.04 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 82% ±11 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 61% ±6 | 82% ±11 | 88% ±16 | 91% ±21 | 2h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 292 → 7 | |
| at post · 85,644.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 84,732.37 (-1.1%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 62% ±16 | 46% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 29% ±6 | 61% ±16 | 75% ±24 | 81% ±35 | 13h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 209 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,640.45 (-1.2%) | 1.8 | 2.9% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 64% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 26% ±4 | 64% ±11 | 77% ±17 | 82% ±24 | 11h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 437 → 10 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-1.8%) | 2.9 | 5.2% | 1.9d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 45% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 79% ±24 | 1.5d | 1.31% | 0.97% | 471 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,865.8–82,975.05 (-3.1%) | 4.9 | 1.6% | 12h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 21% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 40% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 4.6d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1008 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.2%) | 5.1 | 1.3% | 8h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 22% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±10 | 43% ±21 | 55% ±33 | 5.0d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 372 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,277.84 (-8.6%) | 14 | 2.8% | 18h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 21% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1125 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.