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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 18:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+3.6%) | 5.5 | 0.2% | 36m | 4.8d ago · 38× | 16% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 38% ±16 | 54% ±25 | 6.2d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 630 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,927.26 (+2.0%) | 3.1 | 2.4% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 36% ±10 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 10% ±3 | 37% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 74% ±25 | 1.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 502 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,874.85 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 2.3% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 75% ±10 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 120 | 49% ±5 | 75% ±10 | 84% ±14 | 90% ±18 | 5h | 1.41% | 1.02% | 462 → 11 | |
| at post · 84,222.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 5.3% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 114× | 89% ±7 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 71% ±4 | 89% ±7 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.31% | 0.97% | 419 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-1.5%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 12h | 6.0d ago · 99× | 49% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 15% ±3 | 49% ±10 | 66% ±16 | 73% ±23 | 1.1d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 587 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 9h | 7.0d ago · 46× | 44% ±16 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 14% ±5 | 44% ±16 | 72% ±24 | 84% ±33 | 1.3d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 227 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 80,897.74–81,272.01 (-3.5%) | 5.3 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 23% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 64% ±24 | 3.6d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 634 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-6.9%) | 10 | 3.1% | 22h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 26% ±18 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1013 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.