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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+3.2%) | 5.0 | 0.2% | 36m | 4.6d ago · 38× | 19% ±8 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 58% ±27 | 4.7d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 558 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,927.26 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 2.4% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 67× | 44% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 15% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 68% ±19 | 76% ±26 | 1.5d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 427 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,827.36 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 85% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 120 | 65% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±14 | 2h | 1.41% | 1.02% | 363 → 9 | |
| at post · 84,515.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 3.3d ago · 114× | 84% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 60% ±4 | 84% ±8 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±13 | 2h | 1.31% | 0.97% | 513 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-1.8%) | 2.8 | 1.6% | 12h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 41% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 10% ±2 | 41% ±9 | 59% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 1.7d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 722 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-1.9%) | 2.9 | 1.3% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 39% ±15 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 12% ±4 | 39% ±15 | 66% ±25 | 80% ±32 | 1.8d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 250 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 80,897.74–81,272.01 (-3.8%) | 5.9 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 20% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 61% ±25 | 4.1d | 1.43% | 0.94% | 629 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-7.2%) | 11 | 3.1% | 22h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 4% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1046 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.