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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,750.16 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 85% ±11 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 66% ±6 | 85% ±11 | 90% ±16 | 93% ±20 | 2h | 2.00% | 1.22% | 231 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,742.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,716.65 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.7d ago · 64× | 81% ±13 | 45% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±11 | 80 | 44% ±7 | 81% ±13 | 88% ±18 | 93% ±22 | 6h | 1.61% | 2.05% | 223 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,662.84–2,703.32 (-1.4%) | 2.0 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 56% ±12 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 21% ±4 | 56% ±12 | 74% ±19 | 83% ±25 | 18h | 1.90% | 1.50% | 379 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,688.38–2,688.84 (-1.9%) | 2.7 | 5.4% | 2.6d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 50% ±11 | 50% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±7 | 163 | 13% ±3 | 50% ±11 | 69% ±17 | 82% ±22 | 1.0d | 1.97% | 1.36% | 489 → 12 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 2,668.8–2,676.33 (-2.4%) | 3.4 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 29% ±7 | 52% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 122 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±7 | 54% ±13 | 66% ±19 | 2.6d | 2.11% | 1.33% | 957 → 23 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,649.53 (-3.4%) | 4.8 | 2.1% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 18% ±6 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±6 | 41% ±14 | 64% ±21 | 4.2d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 865 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-4.9%) | 6.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 9% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 19% ±15 | 27% ±26 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 472 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 2,507.67 (-8.6%) | 12 | 5.3% | 1.7d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 3% ±3 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 24% ±23 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 592 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,374.99 (-13.4%) | 19 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1027 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.