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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 14:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,755.43 (+1.7%) | 2.2 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 58% ±13 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 23% ±4 | 58% ±13 | 75% ±20 | 85% ±25 | 16h | 2.00% | 1.22% | 344 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,718.1 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 16h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 82% ±11 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 67% ±5 | 83% ±11 | 92% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 2h | 2.19% | 1.61% | 296 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,708.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,662.84–2,703.32 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.1% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 91% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 75% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 95% ±16 | 1h | 1.90% | 1.50% | 309 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,680.83–2,690.65 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 5.7% | 2.6d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 82% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±7 | 164 | 62% ±4 | 81% ±8 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±13 | 2h | 1.93% | 1.38% | 559 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,660.09–2,665.9 (-1.6%) | 2.0 | 3.2% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 41% ±10 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 16% ±3 | 41% ±10 | 61% ±18 | 73% ±24 | 1.8d | 2.24% | 1.45% | 527 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.7%) | 4.7 | 1.1% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 22% ±11 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±11 | 40% ±21 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 358 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 2,507.67 (-7.4%) | 9.5 | 5.7% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 7% ±5 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 37% ±25 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 606 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,374.99 (-12.3%) | 16 | 0.7% | 3h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1114 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.