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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 18:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+4.0%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 5h | 18.5d ago · 44× | 20% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 39% ±17 | 60% ±27 | 4.8d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 557 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,750.54 (+3.3%) | 4.2 | 2.5% | 16h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 28% ±9 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±9 | 53% ±16 | 74% ±22 | 2.8d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 640 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,718.1 (+2.0%) | 2.6 | 3.0% | 16h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 45% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 45% ±9 | 66% ±15 | 83% ±18 | 1.2d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 710 → 17 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,687.57–2,690.65 (+0.9%) | 1.1 | 6.1% | 2.9d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 79% ±9 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 54% ±4 | 79% ±9 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 3h | 1.87% | 1.36% | 489 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,665.9 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 56× | 94% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 9% ±7 | 46% ±11 | 73 | 80% ±6 | 94% ±10 | 94% ±17 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 1.63% | 1.55% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,663.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,660.09 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 85% ±13 | 48% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±11 | 77 | 73% ±7 | 85% ±13 | 86% ±22 | 88% ±32 | 1h | 2.16% | 1.75% | 166 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 1.1% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 45% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 12% ±4 | 45% ±14 | 60% ±24 | 63% ±36 | 1.5d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 285 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,451.45–2,518.91 (-5.4%) | 6.9 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 11% ±6 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 27% ±15 | 39% ±25 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 600 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,482.93 (-6.8%) | 8.6 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 20.1d ago · 30× | 5% ±3 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±10 | 32% ±19 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 986 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.