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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 22:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.9%) | 5.0 | 0.9% | 5h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 20% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 61% ±27 | 4.5d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 541 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,745.65 (+3.0%) | 3.8 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 33% ±10 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±10 | 58% ±17 | 76% ±23 | 2.3d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 552 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+2.0%) | 2.5 | 2.9% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 46% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 46% ±9 | 67% ±15 | 84% ±18 | 1.2d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 691 → 16 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,687.57–2,690.65 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 6.0% | 2.9d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 83% ±8 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 61% ±4 | 83% ±8 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 2h | 1.87% | 1.36% | 526 → 13 | |
| at post · 2,666.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,657.65–2,665.9 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 86% ±11 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 70% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 88% ±18 | 91% ±25 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.45% | 216 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.2%) | 2.8 | 1.1% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 43% ±14 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 10% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 58% ±23 | 61% ±36 | 1.7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 299 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,451.45–2,518.91 (-5.5%) | 7.1 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 26% ±15 | 37% ±25 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 584 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,482.93 (-6.9%) | 8.8 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 5% ±3 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 32% ±19 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1004 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.