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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 02:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.5%) | 4.7 | 0.8% | 5h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 22% ±9 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 63% ±27 | 4.0d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 515 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,745.65 (+2.6%) | 3.5 | 2.7% | 16h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 38% ±10 | 56% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 93 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 80% ±23 | 1.8d | 2.00% | 1.22% | 497 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.6%) | 2.2 | 2.8% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 51% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 16% ±3 | 50% ±10 | 69% ±16 | 85% ±19 | 1.0d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 570 → 14 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,683.08–2,690.65 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 87% ±7 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 71% ±4 | 87% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.87% | 1.36% | 467 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,675.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,657.65–2,665.9 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 75% ±11 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 56% ±5 | 75% ±11 | 82% ±18 | 87% ±23 | 3h | 2.24% | 1.45% | 329 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.5%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 33% ±13 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±13 | 50% ±23 | 53% ±35 | 3.1d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 318 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,451.45–2,518.91 (-5.9%) | 7.8 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 84× | 8% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 22% ±14 | 34% ±25 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 571 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.0%) | 9.4 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 4% ±3 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±9 | 31% ±18 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1042 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.