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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.4%) | 5.3 | 0.7% | 4h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 19% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 37% ±17 | 58% ±26 | 5.2d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 572 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,743.2 (+2.4%) | 3.7 | 2.4% | 13h | 1.9d ago · 69× | 35% ±10 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 60% ±18 | 77% ±23 | 2.2d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 539 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.5%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 47% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 13% ±3 | 47% ±10 | 68% ±16 | 85% ±18 | 1.2d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 617 → 15 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,683.08–2,690.65 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 88% ±7 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 72% ±4 | 88% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±11 | 1h | 1.87% | 1.36% | 456 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,679.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,657.65–2,665.9 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 22h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 69% ±11 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 46% ±5 | 69% ±11 | 79% ±17 | 85% ±22 | 6h | 2.24% | 1.45% | 406 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.6%) | 4.1 | 0.9% | 3h | 13.6d ago · 46× | 29% ±12 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±12 | 45% ±22 | 50% ±35 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 339 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,451.45–2,518.91 (-6.0%) | 9.3 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±14 | 28% ±24 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 541 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.2%) | 11 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 20.3d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±8 | 27% ±17 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1127 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.