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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 10:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.3%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 4h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 14% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 32% ±15 | 53% ±24 | 6.2d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 651 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,748.09 (+2.5%) | 4.5 | 1.9% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 24% ±8 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±8 | 49% ±16 | 72% ±21 | 3.1d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 706 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.4%) | 2.6 | 2.1% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 45% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 45% ±9 | 66% ±15 | 83% ±18 | 1.2d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 701 → 17 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,683.08–2,690.65 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 90% ±7 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 148 | 75% ±4 | 90% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.87% | 1.36% | 430 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,682.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,662.53–2,665.9 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 64% ±11 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 41% ±4 | 64% ±11 | 76% ±16 | 83% ±22 | 8h | 2.24% | 1.45% | 477 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.7%) | 5.0 | 0.8% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 20% ±10 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 36% ±21 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 373 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,451.45–2,518.91 (-6.1%) | 11 | 2.3% | 21h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 4% ±4 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 22% ±23 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 506 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.3%) | 13 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 20.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 23% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1193 → 28 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.