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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.3%) | 8.4 | 0.4% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 8% ±4 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±12 | 46% ±22 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 850 → 20 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,745.65 (+2.4%) | 6.0 | 1.4% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 16% ±6 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 39% ±14 | 60% ±20 | 5.0d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 906 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.4%) | 3.6 | 1.6% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 33% ±8 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±7 | 57% ±14 | 76% ±18 | 2.1d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 910 → 22 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,690.65–2,691.28 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 103× | 86% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 49% ±8 | 148 | 68% ±4 | 86% ±7 | 92% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.39% | 505 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,683.08 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 66× | 91% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 83 | 80% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±13 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.70% | 1.25% | 203 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,682.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,662.53–2,665.9 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 52% ±11 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 26% ±4 | 52% ±11 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±23 | 23h | 2.24% | 1.45% | 506 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.7%) | 7.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 9% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 18% ±15 | 26% ±26 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 480 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,455.95–2,518.91 (-6.1%) | 16 | 1.7% | 15h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 135 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 13% ±22 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 392 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.3%) | 19 | 2.4% | 20h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1035 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.