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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 18:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.2%) | 11 | 0.3% | 2h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 37% ±21 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 879 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,745.65 (+2.3%) | 8.2 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 10% ±4 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±4 | 30% ±11 | 49% ±19 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 1094 → 26 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.3%) | 4.7 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 25% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 67% ±18 | 3.3d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 1058 → 25 | |
| 14D POC | 2,685.76 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 78× | 93% ±7 | 36% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 115 | 79% ±5 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±10 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 1.79% | 1.32% | 301 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,683.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,681.13–2,683.08 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 89% ±7 | 53% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 38% ±7 | 165 | 76% ±4 | 89% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 2.09% | 1.19% | 423 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,662.53–2,665.9 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 10h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 36% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 122 | 11% ±2 | 37% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 71% ±22 | 2.1d | 2.24% | 1.45% | 663 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.8%) | 9.9 | 0.4% | 1h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 3% ±3 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±9 | 15% ±18 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 623 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,455.95–2,518.91 (-6.2%) | 22 | 1.2% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±12 | 7% ±20 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 269 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.3%) | 26 | 1.7% | 14h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 10% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 821 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.