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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+3.2%) | 13 | 0.3% | 2h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 927 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,743.2 (+2.2%) | 8.9 | 0.9% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 9% ±4 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±0 | 9% ±4 | 28% ±11 | 47% ±19 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 1113 → 27 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+1.3%) | 5.2 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 23% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±6 | 44% ±12 | 62% ±19 | 3.8d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 1100 → 26 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,685.48–2,685.76 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.1% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 93% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 49% ±8 | 148 | 82% ±4 | 93% ±6 | 96% ±9 | 98% ±10 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.39% | 359 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,685.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,683.08 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.1% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 86% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 72% ±6 | 86% ±11 | 92% ±15 | 94% ±22 | 1h | 2.14% | 1.12% | 230 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,665.9 (-0.7%) | 2.9 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 37% ±8 | 56% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±8 | 123 | 9% ±2 | 37% ±8 | 60% ±14 | 69% ±21 | 1.9d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 798 → 19 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,662.53 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 0.9% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 27% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 6% ±2 | 27% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.3d | 2.10% | 1.73% | 676 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-2.8%) | 12 | 0.4% | 1h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 2% ±2 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±16 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 643 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,455.95–2,518.91 (-6.2%) | 25 | 1.0% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±17 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.4%) | 30 | 1.4% | 12h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 652 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.