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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 122,351.32 (+2.0%) | 3.4 | 0.7% | 3h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 35% ±23 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 6% ±5 | 35% ±23 | 71% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 1.5d | 1.33% | 0.80% | 95 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 58% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 38% ±29 | 62% ±67 | 85% | 85% | 13h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,979.5 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 119,910.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 116,430–119,292.5 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 4.6% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 80% ±29 | 64% ±28 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 11 | 60% ±15 | 81% ±29 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 118,846 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 7.2% | 2.2d | 3.9d ago · 58× | 59% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 33% ±23 | 58% ±56 | 94% | 94% | 16h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-1.4%) | 2.4 | 10.0% | 3.8d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 47% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 29% ±16 | 45% ±44 | 45% ±69 | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,677.45 (-2.7%) | 4.5 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 41% ±32 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 4% ±5 | 40% ±30 | 65% ±54 | 65% | 1.4d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,743 (-3.5%) | 5.9 | 2.5% | 9h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 21% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±31 | 26% ±61 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 115,246.65 (-3.9%) | 6.6 | 3.2% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 10% ±15 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 24% ±38 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,076 (-4.9%) | 8.2 | 2.3% | 21h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±24 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 119,910.3 | 118,204.75 | 120,742.07 | target | +0.25% |