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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 122,351.32 (+3.0%) | 4.6 | 0.8% | 4h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 31% ±21 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 6% ±5 | 31% ±21 | 70% ±37 | 74% ±50 | 1.8d | 1.33% | 0.80% | 109 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+1.7%) | 2.6 | 1.1% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 24% ±19 | 67% ±53 | 86% | 86% | 17h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,979.5 (+1.0%) | 1.5 | 2.8% | 15h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 40% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 24% ±21 | 47% ±56 | 94% | 94% | 1.0d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 118,952 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.4% | 2.2d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 72% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 56% ±19 | 74% ±43 | 78% | 81% | 2h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 118,775.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 11.0% | 4.2d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 87% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±17 | 85% ±31 | 85% ±50 | 85% | 2h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,677.45 (-1.8%) | 2.7 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 57% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 22% ±10 | 56% ±29 | 81% ±39 | 81% ±55 | 19h | 1.36% | 0.40% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 115,444–115,743 (-2.6%) | 3.9 | 2.8% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 24% ±21 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±5 | 24% ±21 | 36% ±42 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,970 (-4.0%) | 6.1 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 2.4d ago · 57× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 15% ±31 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 118,775.6 | 116,673 | 119,848.76 | stop | -1.14% |